"Computer Assisted Reasoning... Computer Assisted Reasoning for Decision Support Most approaches to computerized decision support are based on a rationalist perspective... for the optimal decision. Indeed, for any fixed method for computing a decision, participants will be prone to bias their assessments to support the answer they favor. Classical... approaches to decision support suppress these pragmatic issues, and in doing so, they frequently fail to address the central problems facing decisionmakers. In practice, the reasoning...

plugin - running time, 10 minutes. File size, 10 mb). >|view movie Business Evolving Logic has built customized decision support systems and used its technology to support analysis... for corporate client for problems such as managing portfolios of technology investments, marketing decisions, and making a business case for investments in new designs...

CAR , based on exploratory modeling methods in the scholarly literature, is an approach to human-computer interaction that supports decision-making under conditions of deep.... "Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis," Steven C. Bankes, Operations Research, 1993. "Computer Assisted Reasoning for Decision Support," Steven C. Bankes. "Computational... Experiments for Decision Making in Complex and Uncertain Environments," Steven C. Bankes. Robust Adaptive Planning When faced with deep uncertainty, managers often respond...

decision support systems. Bankes was a Professor of Information Science and received his Ph.D. in Computer Science from the University of Colorado. He is a member of the board... Computer Scientist, is the inventor of the technology for exploratory modeling, Evolving Logic's unique approach to robust decision-making. >|more Robert J. Lempert, PhD... is a Physicist with an additional degree in political science. His experience and interest in the proper application of mathematical models to social and decision-making problems has been vital...

by searching over an ensemble of models and cases believed to be plausible in order to inform the answer. Question driven exploration provides an alternative to supporting decision... or sampling strategies that support valid conclusions or reliable insights based on a limited number of computational experiments. Exploratory modeling can be contrasted... of the target system, the available information is consistent with a set of models, whose implications for potential decisions may be quite diverse. A single model run drawn from...